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Welcome to Oscarxena Sports
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Oscarxena's YTD documented record
NBA 164-134-2 + 40.4 Units
NCAAB 348-342-12 +27.7 Units
NHL 152-123-13 - 26.1 Units
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AFL 7-4-1 + 5.20 Units
NBA 164-134-2 + 40.4 Units
NCAAB 348-342-12 +27.7 Units
NHL 152-123-13 - 26.1 Units
MLB 118-113-6 + 12.95 Units
AFL 7-4-1 + 5.20 Units
Oscarxena's past 3 days picks, analysis and results
6/30/08
Cleveland +1.38 (3 Unit Play) - The Indians are terrible right now but are entering a stretch that will basically decide what the player's future is as they are taking on the White Sox, Twins and Tigers in
the next week and a half. A failed road trip will likely mean that management views them out of the competition and will start to look towards the future. Jeremy Sowers is on the mound this evening
for the Indians and he certainly has not been helping them so far this year but he has had a start against the White Sox and pitched very well recording a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP although he lost the
start. Meanwhile for the White Sox Gavin Floyd takes the mound and he is one of the worst starters in the league although his numbers are not supporting that fact right now. Floyd has a 4.28 ERA in
his career against Cleveland and although he has not been allowing a lot of hits so far this year he is walking a lot of batters. The White Sox had to play late last night and are off a very emotional series
against their home town rival Cubs and I just think Cleveland will have more energy and things on their side this evening. Take the Indians tonight.
Oakland +1.27 (3 Unit Play) - Two teams that are really struggling to score meet tonight in what is a very big series to start the second half of the year off. The A's are just not hitting right now but have
had some key injuries all year and a team like them can't afford these at all. Rumor has it that Chavez and Sweeney will be playing tonight and the A's are taking on a pitcher in Jon Garland who has
had problems in his career with them as he is 5-10 in games started against Oakland with a 4.92 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. The Angels had not scored a run for 26 consecutive innings until putting one run
on the board that John Lackey and the bullpen made hold up against the Dodgers on Sunday. The A's will have Greg Smith on the bump tonight and so far this year he has lost both appearances
against the Angels but has still recorded a 3.77 ERA and a 1.117 WHIP. The price looks cheap and I think the A's will win this game tonight.
Kansas City/Baltimore Over 9 +1.03 (3 Unit Play) - The Orioles return home after a tough loss yesterday but have been playing very well when they take on the Royals. Baltimore has won 19 of the last
24 games against Kansas City but have really enjoyed when Zack Grienke is pitching against them. Greinke is 0-2 in his career against Baltimore and has an incredibly high ERA of 11.88 and a 1.921
WHIP when taking on the Orioles. Greinke has been pitching well lately but his stats against Baltimore swayed me more so. The Orioles are responding with Brian Burres who was scratched from his
last start and made a lackluster appearance out of the bullpen last week and in his career against Kansas City has a 6.00 ERA and a 1.833 WHIP. Burres has been terrible lately as he has recorded a
10.22 ERA in his last six outings this year. The wind is blowing out slightly to right center field at 6 MPH and I think this game goes Over the total.
6/29/08
New York Mets -1.14 (3 Unit Play) - The Mets have dropped two straight to the Yankees at home and look to win this last game here today with Oliver Perez on the mound. Perez has had a forgettable
year so far but he has always managed to pitch well against the Yankees as he is 4-1 with a 2.88 ERA in five career starts. Facing Perez for the Yankees will be Darrell Rasner who has fallen on rough
times lately after a nice start and in fact Rasner is 1-5 in his last six starts with a 6.00 ERA. Oliver Perez has had the benefit of working with today's HP umpire Mike DiMuro and he is 1-1 in those starts
but the huge advantage for the Mets today is DiMuro's tendency to favor the home team as so far this year he is 15-2 for the homers. I like the Mets to salvage a split out of this four game series today.
Cleveland -1 1/2 Runs +1.35 (3 Unit Play) - I normally do not like to lay more than -1.30 on favorites in baseball and because Cleveland is -1.50 I will make a play on them on the run line here. The Indians
have really been terrible at the plate all year long but they still have a winning record at home at 22-21 and have Aaron Laffey on the mound today who has been nearly unhittable at home so far this
year. Laffey has a 1.39 ERA at home so far in 45 1/3 innings of work and has a 0.99 WHIP as well. Opposing Laffey for the Reds is Bronson Arroyo who has been absolutely horrid lately going 0-3 with a
10.07 ERA in five starts. In fact Arroyo has a 7.99 ERA on the road so far this year and a 2.02 WHIP so he is just lost out on the mound. Arroyo is 1-3 with today's HP umpire Tim Welke and the Reds are
actually only 15-29 on the road so far this year. I like the Indians big today.
Tampa Bay/Pittsburgh Over 9 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play) - I am running late today but this is my last play of the day as I like these two teams to pile on the runs in Pittsburgh. Andy Sonnanstine is throwing
for the Rays and Tampa Bay is 12-4 in his starts this year but Sonnanstine has a 4.85 ERA on the year and a 1.43 WHIP. He allows a lot of hits as he has allowed 117 hits in 94 2/3 innings and that may
not be a good formula facing a Pirate team that can hit as evidenced by their 48-27-5 Over numbers so far this year. The Pirates are countering with Tom Gorzelanny who has an overall ERA of 6.43 on
the year and he has a horrible 41 strikeouts compared to 55 walks on the year and a 1.75 WHIP. HP umpire Ed Rapuano is 8-6 to the Over so far this year and in fact Gorzelanny has started three times
with Rapuano behind home plate and every game sailed Over the total. The Pirates are 7-3 to the Over in the past 10 games with Ed and Tampa Bay is 6-4 to the Over in the same period. These teams
played late last night and used up their bullpens so if these pitchers pitch to form this game should go way Over.
6/27/08
Detroit -1.15 (3 Unit Play) - The Tigers are starting to play the type of baseball that people expected from them this year and the main reason is that they are starting to get healthy. Gary Sheffield has
returned from the DL on a mission and Curtis Granderson is finally starting to hit like the leadoff man he is and that spells danger for opposing teams. The Tigers will have Eddie Bonine on the hill
tonight and although his two starts so far this year have not been great he is capable of putting up some numbers as he was 9-2 in the minor leagues with a 1.29 WHIP but a slightly elevated ERA of
4.48. The Rockies will counter with Ubaldo Jimenez who on the year has been very disappointing but he is awful on the road as he has posted an 0-5 record in eight starts with a 6.75 ERA and in fact
the Rockies have dropped all eight of those starts. The Rockies are only 12-28 away from home and although they had started to play well their three game sweep to the Royals had to be
disheartening. The Tigers have momentum going for them and I think the price is cheap for them tonight.
Washington +1.28 (3 Unit Play) - The Nationals get Odalis Perez back from the DL tonight and although that is nothing to write home about he has performed very well at home so far this year. Perez
has posted a 2.56 ERA at home in 31 2/3 innings of work and has a 1.14 WHIP in those outings. Perez was pounded earlier this year at Baltimore and will have something to prove as he allowed six
earned runs in only five innings. However Perez has pitched pretty well against Baltimore going 2-1 with a 4.32 ERA in four career starts. The Orioles are countering with Daniel Cabrera who has
reverted back to his wild self as he is 0-2 in his four starts so far this month with a 7.43 ERA. Cabrera has always struggled in IL games as he is 2-10 with a 6.11 ERA in 15 starts. The Orioles are only
18-25 on the year away from home and although Washington is only 16-25 at home I can't pass up this juicy price for the home doggie Nationals.
LA Angels/LA Dodgers Over 8 +1.04 (3 Unit Play) - My last play today will be on this late game to go Over the total tonight. Chan Ho Park makes another spot start for the Dodgers and although he has
been pitching well he is more suited right now for coming out of the bullpen and the Angels have the luxury of facing him for the second time this year. Park in his career has not faired well when
taking on the Angels as he is 5-7 with a 5.75 ERA in 18 career starts against them. The Angels will counter with Joe Saunders who has been pitching outstanding all year but he relies a lot on throwing
the ball in the strike zone and relying on his defense to make plays as he has only struck out 49 batters in 101 innings of work. It is working for him so far this year but you have to wonder if the
offenses will catch up with him soon. Just like Park the Dodgers have seen Saunders once this year already and should have their full offensive compliment in tonight as several regulars were rested
yesterday. The wind is blowing out to center field tonight at 8 MPH and this year although the record isn't great the Dodgers have went Over 17 out of 32 games when the wind is in that direction. I like
this game to go Over this evening.
6/26/08
Chicago White Sox +1.02 (3 Unit Play) - I was against the White Sox last night but I will come back with them today in the rubber match of this three game series. John Danks is on the hill for the White
Sox and he has been brilliant this year as he has a 2.80 ERA in 86 2/3 innings of work with a 1.22 WHIP. On the road he has been even better as he has a 1.69 ERA in 42 2/3 innings with a 1.05 WHIP and
has 36 strikeouts compared to 9 walks for a 4-1 ratio which is outstanding. The Dodgers are countering with rookie Clayton Kershaw and he has failed to last more than six innings in five of his last six
starts and although the White Sox seem to have trouble facing someone for the first time I really like the pitching matchup here. The White Sox have been having their woes on the road but the
Dodgers usually sit Kent and they may even sit Martin here playing a day game after a night game so their lineup should even be weaker. Today's HP umpire is Dana DeMuth who has shown favoritism
so far to the road team this year as the road team has went 10-6 and Danks has the advantage of working in his career with DeMuth as he is 2-0 in two career starts while Kershaw is making his first
start with him today. I like the White Sox to win the series here and the only thing that kept it from being bigger is the White Sox road record.
Philadelphia/Oakland Under 8 +1.05 (3 Unit Play) - The Phillies offense has been struggling for a while now and although they won last night it was because of a big pitching performance by Kyle
Kendrick as the Phils won 4-0. They will face today a very tough pitcher when healthy in Rich Harden and Harden at home this year has a sterling 2.13 ERA in 42 1/3 innings of work with a miniscule
WHIP of 1.18. The Phillies will counter with Adam Eaton and although Eaton's numbers are much worse he has started 15 games for the Phillies this year and the Under has cashed in 13 times with a
push. Day games in Oakland are notoriously low scoring because of the sun and shadow factor at home plate as well. HP umpire Tim Tschida has been an Over umpire so far this year but in digging
deeper into the stats Eaton has went 3-1 in starts in his career with Tschida while Harden has went 2-1 so they work well with him. Philadelphia has went Under 6 out of the last 10 times and Oakland
has went Under 6 out of 10 times with Tschida as the home plate umpire. Eaton has started four times in his career against Oakland and the Under is 3-0-1 so all the numbers add up to a low scoring
game in Oakland today.
Texas +1.26 (3 Unit Play) - The Rangers look to win this series today as the teams have split so far and I will take veteran Kevin Millwood to lock up this series with a big win today. The Astros have
Wandy Rodriguez on the mound and he has been very good at home over his career but Rodriguez does not go deep into games evidenced by his lasting into the seventh inning only twice in his last
nine starts and now the Astros have some internal issues going as Chacon took his demotion to the bullpen badly and struggled the General Manager yesterday. Rodriguez has won his two starts
against Texas but his ERA in those games was 4.76 and he has not been great overall in his interleague starts. Meanwhile Millwood has been outstanding since coming off the DL and has not lost
since May 5TH and his career record against the Astros is 6-3 with a 3.48 ERA and he has been even better in Houston going 5-1 with a 2.19 ERA in seven starts. Texas is still playing good ball while
Houston has fell down over the past month and I think this is great value at this price today.
6/30/08
Cleveland +1.38 (3 Unit Play) - The Indians are terrible right now but are entering a stretch that will basically decide what the player's future is as they are taking on the White Sox, Twins and Tigers in
the next week and a half. A failed road trip will likely mean that management views them out of the competition and will start to look towards the future. Jeremy Sowers is on the mound this evening
for the Indians and he certainly has not been helping them so far this year but he has had a start against the White Sox and pitched very well recording a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP although he lost the
start. Meanwhile for the White Sox Gavin Floyd takes the mound and he is one of the worst starters in the league although his numbers are not supporting that fact right now. Floyd has a 4.28 ERA in
his career against Cleveland and although he has not been allowing a lot of hits so far this year he is walking a lot of batters. The White Sox had to play late last night and are off a very emotional series
against their home town rival Cubs and I just think Cleveland will have more energy and things on their side this evening. Take the Indians tonight.
Oakland +1.27 (3 Unit Play) - Two teams that are really struggling to score meet tonight in what is a very big series to start the second half of the year off. The A's are just not hitting right now but have
had some key injuries all year and a team like them can't afford these at all. Rumor has it that Chavez and Sweeney will be playing tonight and the A's are taking on a pitcher in Jon Garland who has
had problems in his career with them as he is 5-10 in games started against Oakland with a 4.92 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. The Angels had not scored a run for 26 consecutive innings until putting one run
on the board that John Lackey and the bullpen made hold up against the Dodgers on Sunday. The A's will have Greg Smith on the bump tonight and so far this year he has lost both appearances
against the Angels but has still recorded a 3.77 ERA and a 1.117 WHIP. The price looks cheap and I think the A's will win this game tonight.
Kansas City/Baltimore Over 9 +1.03 (3 Unit Play) - The Orioles return home after a tough loss yesterday but have been playing very well when they take on the Royals. Baltimore has won 19 of the last
24 games against Kansas City but have really enjoyed when Zack Grienke is pitching against them. Greinke is 0-2 in his career against Baltimore and has an incredibly high ERA of 11.88 and a 1.921
WHIP when taking on the Orioles. Greinke has been pitching well lately but his stats against Baltimore swayed me more so. The Orioles are responding with Brian Burres who was scratched from his
last start and made a lackluster appearance out of the bullpen last week and in his career against Kansas City has a 6.00 ERA and a 1.833 WHIP. Burres has been terrible lately as he has recorded a
10.22 ERA in his last six outings this year. The wind is blowing out slightly to right center field at 6 MPH and I think this game goes Over the total.
6/29/08
New York Mets -1.14 (3 Unit Play) - The Mets have dropped two straight to the Yankees at home and look to win this last game here today with Oliver Perez on the mound. Perez has had a forgettable
year so far but he has always managed to pitch well against the Yankees as he is 4-1 with a 2.88 ERA in five career starts. Facing Perez for the Yankees will be Darrell Rasner who has fallen on rough
times lately after a nice start and in fact Rasner is 1-5 in his last six starts with a 6.00 ERA. Oliver Perez has had the benefit of working with today's HP umpire Mike DiMuro and he is 1-1 in those starts
but the huge advantage for the Mets today is DiMuro's tendency to favor the home team as so far this year he is 15-2 for the homers. I like the Mets to salvage a split out of this four game series today.
Cleveland -1 1/2 Runs +1.35 (3 Unit Play) - I normally do not like to lay more than -1.30 on favorites in baseball and because Cleveland is -1.50 I will make a play on them on the run line here. The Indians
have really been terrible at the plate all year long but they still have a winning record at home at 22-21 and have Aaron Laffey on the mound today who has been nearly unhittable at home so far this
year. Laffey has a 1.39 ERA at home so far in 45 1/3 innings of work and has a 0.99 WHIP as well. Opposing Laffey for the Reds is Bronson Arroyo who has been absolutely horrid lately going 0-3 with a
10.07 ERA in five starts. In fact Arroyo has a 7.99 ERA on the road so far this year and a 2.02 WHIP so he is just lost out on the mound. Arroyo is 1-3 with today's HP umpire Tim Welke and the Reds are
actually only 15-29 on the road so far this year. I like the Indians big today.
Tampa Bay/Pittsburgh Over 9 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play) - I am running late today but this is my last play of the day as I like these two teams to pile on the runs in Pittsburgh. Andy Sonnanstine is throwing
for the Rays and Tampa Bay is 12-4 in his starts this year but Sonnanstine has a 4.85 ERA on the year and a 1.43 WHIP. He allows a lot of hits as he has allowed 117 hits in 94 2/3 innings and that may
not be a good formula facing a Pirate team that can hit as evidenced by their 48-27-5 Over numbers so far this year. The Pirates are countering with Tom Gorzelanny who has an overall ERA of 6.43 on
the year and he has a horrible 41 strikeouts compared to 55 walks on the year and a 1.75 WHIP. HP umpire Ed Rapuano is 8-6 to the Over so far this year and in fact Gorzelanny has started three times
with Rapuano behind home plate and every game sailed Over the total. The Pirates are 7-3 to the Over in the past 10 games with Ed and Tampa Bay is 6-4 to the Over in the same period. These teams
played late last night and used up their bullpens so if these pitchers pitch to form this game should go way Over.
6/27/08
Detroit -1.15 (3 Unit Play) - The Tigers are starting to play the type of baseball that people expected from them this year and the main reason is that they are starting to get healthy. Gary Sheffield has
returned from the DL on a mission and Curtis Granderson is finally starting to hit like the leadoff man he is and that spells danger for opposing teams. The Tigers will have Eddie Bonine on the hill
tonight and although his two starts so far this year have not been great he is capable of putting up some numbers as he was 9-2 in the minor leagues with a 1.29 WHIP but a slightly elevated ERA of
4.48. The Rockies will counter with Ubaldo Jimenez who on the year has been very disappointing but he is awful on the road as he has posted an 0-5 record in eight starts with a 6.75 ERA and in fact
the Rockies have dropped all eight of those starts. The Rockies are only 12-28 away from home and although they had started to play well their three game sweep to the Royals had to be
disheartening. The Tigers have momentum going for them and I think the price is cheap for them tonight.
Washington +1.28 (3 Unit Play) - The Nationals get Odalis Perez back from the DL tonight and although that is nothing to write home about he has performed very well at home so far this year. Perez
has posted a 2.56 ERA at home in 31 2/3 innings of work and has a 1.14 WHIP in those outings. Perez was pounded earlier this year at Baltimore and will have something to prove as he allowed six
earned runs in only five innings. However Perez has pitched pretty well against Baltimore going 2-1 with a 4.32 ERA in four career starts. The Orioles are countering with Daniel Cabrera who has
reverted back to his wild self as he is 0-2 in his four starts so far this month with a 7.43 ERA. Cabrera has always struggled in IL games as he is 2-10 with a 6.11 ERA in 15 starts. The Orioles are only
18-25 on the year away from home and although Washington is only 16-25 at home I can't pass up this juicy price for the home doggie Nationals.
LA Angels/LA Dodgers Over 8 +1.04 (3 Unit Play) - My last play today will be on this late game to go Over the total tonight. Chan Ho Park makes another spot start for the Dodgers and although he has
been pitching well he is more suited right now for coming out of the bullpen and the Angels have the luxury of facing him for the second time this year. Park in his career has not faired well when
taking on the Angels as he is 5-7 with a 5.75 ERA in 18 career starts against them. The Angels will counter with Joe Saunders who has been pitching outstanding all year but he relies a lot on throwing
the ball in the strike zone and relying on his defense to make plays as he has only struck out 49 batters in 101 innings of work. It is working for him so far this year but you have to wonder if the
offenses will catch up with him soon. Just like Park the Dodgers have seen Saunders once this year already and should have their full offensive compliment in tonight as several regulars were rested
yesterday. The wind is blowing out to center field tonight at 8 MPH and this year although the record isn't great the Dodgers have went Over 17 out of 32 games when the wind is in that direction. I like
this game to go Over this evening.
6/26/08
Chicago White Sox +1.02 (3 Unit Play) - I was against the White Sox last night but I will come back with them today in the rubber match of this three game series. John Danks is on the hill for the White
Sox and he has been brilliant this year as he has a 2.80 ERA in 86 2/3 innings of work with a 1.22 WHIP. On the road he has been even better as he has a 1.69 ERA in 42 2/3 innings with a 1.05 WHIP and
has 36 strikeouts compared to 9 walks for a 4-1 ratio which is outstanding. The Dodgers are countering with rookie Clayton Kershaw and he has failed to last more than six innings in five of his last six
starts and although the White Sox seem to have trouble facing someone for the first time I really like the pitching matchup here. The White Sox have been having their woes on the road but the
Dodgers usually sit Kent and they may even sit Martin here playing a day game after a night game so their lineup should even be weaker. Today's HP umpire is Dana DeMuth who has shown favoritism
so far to the road team this year as the road team has went 10-6 and Danks has the advantage of working in his career with DeMuth as he is 2-0 in two career starts while Kershaw is making his first
start with him today. I like the White Sox to win the series here and the only thing that kept it from being bigger is the White Sox road record.
Philadelphia/Oakland Under 8 +1.05 (3 Unit Play) - The Phillies offense has been struggling for a while now and although they won last night it was because of a big pitching performance by Kyle
Kendrick as the Phils won 4-0. They will face today a very tough pitcher when healthy in Rich Harden and Harden at home this year has a sterling 2.13 ERA in 42 1/3 innings of work with a miniscule
WHIP of 1.18. The Phillies will counter with Adam Eaton and although Eaton's numbers are much worse he has started 15 games for the Phillies this year and the Under has cashed in 13 times with a
push. Day games in Oakland are notoriously low scoring because of the sun and shadow factor at home plate as well. HP umpire Tim Tschida has been an Over umpire so far this year but in digging
deeper into the stats Eaton has went 3-1 in starts in his career with Tschida while Harden has went 2-1 so they work well with him. Philadelphia has went Under 6 out of the last 10 times and Oakland
has went Under 6 out of 10 times with Tschida as the home plate umpire. Eaton has started four times in his career against Oakland and the Under is 3-0-1 so all the numbers add up to a low scoring
game in Oakland today.
Texas +1.26 (3 Unit Play) - The Rangers look to win this series today as the teams have split so far and I will take veteran Kevin Millwood to lock up this series with a big win today. The Astros have
Wandy Rodriguez on the mound and he has been very good at home over his career but Rodriguez does not go deep into games evidenced by his lasting into the seventh inning only twice in his last
nine starts and now the Astros have some internal issues going as Chacon took his demotion to the bullpen badly and struggled the General Manager yesterday. Rodriguez has won his two starts
against Texas but his ERA in those games was 4.76 and he has not been great overall in his interleague starts. Meanwhile Millwood has been outstanding since coming off the DL and has not lost
since May 5TH and his career record against the Astros is 6-3 with a 3.48 ERA and he has been even better in Houston going 5-1 with a 2.19 ERA in seven starts. Texas is still playing good ball while
Houston has fell down over the past month and I think this is great value at this price today.
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