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Dsethi's past 3 days picks, analysis and results




6/13/08

2 units:



Tigers (-135)… Detroit ’s starting to roll now, winners of 3 straight and continuing their homestand against one of the weakest-hitting teams in the league currently. Dodgers have lost 8 of 12 and their
offense has been anemic, hitting below .250 over the past week. Lowe has been showing signs of his old self but remains winless on the road with an ERA well above 4. Gallaraga gets the benefit of
pitching with a confident lineup behind him, one that’s got guys who’ve seen Lowe in the past. Throw in that Gallaraga doesn’t have to go deep into this one – his bullpen had a great amount of rest
during the ChiSox series and everyone will be ready to go come Friday. Really like playing this lineup to be patient and make Lowe elevate his pitch count, this is a big time for Detroit to make a stand in
the central – and that fact isn’t lost on them.



Brewers (-135)…Going home after a successful trip to Houston, 7-3 L10 and hitting the shit out of the ball currently. Home run ball back in full force for the Brew Crew, and as they’re getting healthy,
they get to face a pitcher in Slowey that has been mediocre on the road and has been hit hard by right-handed hitters, giving up .323 to them this year. Bush struggled the last time out but he’s been
very good at home and gets to face a Twins lineup that will be without a DH and just plain scuffling right now. Twins’ bullpen had to be used extensively over the weekend and that bodes well for
Milwaukee . All the momentum going into this matchup.



Angels (-135)…Have to take my chance fading the Braves again on the road, especially considering their bullpen got just plain worn out vs. the Cubs. Reyes has been better lately but faces one of the
better hitting teams in the MLB vs. left-handed pitching, and with Itzuris streaking lately and Kendrick getting back to health, in addition to Vlad swinging the hottest bat he’s swung all year, could spell
trouble for Atlanta. Garland’s been better lately, maybe not as good as people thought he would be, but he’s been effective and limited teams to 3 ER or less in his past 4+ starts. Bullpen got the day off
for rest and that could be the difference.

6/12/08

2 units:



Brewers (-130)...Will definitely take my chances with Sheets on the mound vs. Moehler. Brewers are mashing the ball right now, and have fared well vs. Moehler in his lone start against them a few
starts ago. Astros haven’t been able to build any sort of momentum as evidenced by last night’s game, blowing an early lead, blowing an easy chance to tie the game, and having a weak bullpen to
back their starters up. Milwaukee didn’t have to burn their best relievers in this game so Torres should be well rested for use if and when he’s called upon. Sheets hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in a
start since the middle of May, including almost a complete game shutout vs. this same team. Undefeated on the road this season and not walking batters, helping out his own cause.



Rockies (-120)...Didn’t want to fade Lincecum but felt strongly about Jimenez doing well yesterday. Felt this was a huge series for the Rockies coming home, finally getting close to full strength and
getting to face a Giants squad that had to travel across the country to face them. Rockies are playing their best baseball of the year right now and their bullpen is fresh and rested, so Reynolds has the
luxury of not having to try and go too deep into this one. Coming off his first MLB win, his sinker has been on and he’s been good at home in limited action. Sanchez is still walking batters left and right
and although he’s been getting away with his mistakes, he’s going against a squad that’s already seen him twice this year and has huge momentum going into game 3 of this series, going for a sweep.
Sanchez still struggling on the road and more of the same may occur on Thursday.



Yankees (-115)...Pettitte got rocked by KC but he looked half decent vs. the Twins and gave up two many 2-strike hits. Could have an easier go of it vs. the A’s, who have been relying on many left-
handed bats with injuries hurting their team. Pettitte’s still holding lefties to a .189 average and he gets to face a slew of young and inexperienced ones tonight. Blanton has struggled vs. right-handers
(.318) this season which doesn’t bode well for him as the Yankees still boast one of the more balanced attacks in baseball.



Tigers (-120)… Rogers has looked good lately and has even shown an ability to get deep into games. It may not matter as much as his bullpen got some nice rest with Verlander on the mound last
night. White Sox are the 2nd worst team in the AL vs. left-handed pitching, batting below .235, and Detroit is 9-5 this year vs. left-handers. Buerhle’s going to have a tough road game ahead of him with
the Tigers building some serious momentum (similar to the Rockies in the NL). Virtually every player on CWS hits worse vs. left-handed pitching this year, and could make Rogers ’ job a bit easier
throwing at home.


Dsethi




6/10/08

2 units:


Reds (-135)...Cueto has been very good at home and gets to face a STL lineup sans Pujols for the first time this year, making this as good a spot as any to bet on the Reds. Lineup more than enough to
get to Looper, who has been as unimpressive in defeat as he has been impressive in victory. Giving up over .300 BA to his opponents and hasn't gone deep into games in a while, having elevated pitch
counts early in ballgames. Cueto going against a lineup susceptible to striking out often and with the addition of Bruce, really think the Reds will get to Looper.


1 unit:


Astros (-110)...Hitting .297 in their last 7 days, 2nd best team in the NL vs. left-handed pitchers, and have hit Parra well at home. Brewers offense looking for runs now that Weeks is out, lots of right-
handers and Backe's holding them to .250, pitches much better home than away, 3-1 2.90 ERA. Parra has pitched well lately but against mediocre hitting teams and has still struggled mightily on the
road, 1-2 6.95 ERA, right-handers hitting almost .290 against him. Big series for Astros.


Dsethi



6/9/08

4 units:


Rockies -1 (-120)...Finally getting it together and playing the way they're capable of. Holiday expected to return to the lineup and they have a day off before facing the Giants who will have had to fly
across the country to play in this one. Cook has pitched well vs. the Giants in the past and especially at home. Like Colorado's lineup vs. left-handed pitching, Misch is mediocre at best and  has been
getting hit hard lately, and is still struggling with finding his control.  Haven't felt this strong about a play in a while.


3 units:


Astros (-140)...Aside from a rocky road start vs. Pittsburgh, Oswalt's only been getting knocked around by the league's best, and even then it hasn't been as bad as the media is making it. His stuff is
still fantastic, this is a big home series and despite McLungh's success, he hasn't done it on the road and hasn't done it against a viable divisional lineup. Expecting a big start from Oswalt against this
right-handed dominated lineup.


2 units:


Phillies (-115)...Phillies are one of the most patient team s in the NL and that is Nolasco's downfall, not throwing strikes. Will take the better starting pitcher (who is hot right now), the vastly superior
bullpen, the more rested team, and the hotter team with their entire lineup hitting well right now over a team with a weary bullpen and a primarily right-handed lineup that Myers can be effective against.



Dsethi
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